Research Notebook

Intuition Behind the Bayesian LASSO

September 24, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivating Question Imagine you've just seen Apple's most recent return, $r$, which is Apple's long-run expected return, $\mu^\star$, plus some random noise, $\epsilon \overset{\scriptscriptstyle \mathrm{iid}}{\sim} \mathrm{N}(0, \, … [Continue reading]

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Inferring Trader Horizons from Trading Volume

July 13, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivating Example This post shows that, if traders face convex transaction costs (i.e., it costs them more per share to buy $2$ shares of stock than to buy $1$ share of stock), then it is possible to infer traders' investment horizons from … [Continue reading]

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Investor Holdings, Naïve Beliefs, and Artificial Supply Constraints

June 24, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivation In the standard model of house-price dynamics, there are two kinds of cities: supply constrained and supply unconstrained. In supply-constrained cities (e.g., New York, Boston, or San Francisco), it's difficult and costly to build … [Continue reading]

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Asset-Pricing Implications of Dimensional Analysis

May 14, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivation I have been trying to use dimensional analysis to understand asset-pricing problems. In many hard physical problems, it is possible to gain some insight about the functional form of the solution by examining the dimensions of the … [Continue reading]

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ETF-Rebalancing Cascades

April 6, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivation This post looks at the consequences of ETF rebalancing. These funds follow pre-announced rules that involve discrete thresholds. The well-known SPDR tracks the S&P 500, but there are over 1400 different ETFs tracking a wide variety … [Continue reading]

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