Research Notebook

ETF-Rebalancing Cascades

April 6, 2016 by Alex

1. Motivation This post looks at the consequences of ETF rebalancing. These funds follow pre-announced rules that involve discrete thresholds. The well-known SPDR tracks the S&P 500, but there are over 1400 different ETFs tracking a wide variety … [Continue reading]

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The Characteristic Scale of House-Price Variation

January 24, 2016 by Alex

1. Introduction There are many reasons why two houses might have different prices. To start with, one house might just be larger or have a better layout than the other. Let's call these sorts of house-to-house differences "fine-grained". But, … [Continue reading]

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Using the LASSO to Forecast Returns

December 5, 2015 by Alex

1. Motivating Example A Popular Goal. Financial economists have been looking for variables that predict stock returns for as long as there have been financial economists. For some recent examples, think about Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), which … [Continue reading]

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Notes on Kyle (1989)

November 13, 2015 by Alex

1. Motivating Example In several earlier posts (e.g., here and here) I've talked about the two well-known information-based asset-pricing models, Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) and Kyle (1985). But, there are lots of situations that don't really … [Continue reading]

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Screening Using False-Discovery Rates

November 5, 2015 by Alex

1. Motivating Example Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) show that, if you rank stocks according to their returns over the previous $12$ months, then the past winners will outperform the past losers by $1.5{\scriptstyle \%}$ per month over the next $3$ … [Continue reading]

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